New Study: Not One Healthy Child (5–11) Has Died From C0VID in Germany
By Arjun Walia
- The Facts:
- A recent German study has shown that zero healthy kids between the ages of 5-11 have died from COVID.
- For all children the risk of death is 3 per 1,000,000 if they don’t have an underlying health condition.
- The risk of hospitalization is also very low.
- Reflect On:If the risks from COVID are extremely low, and children are poor spreaders of the virus, why would vaccine mandates exist for these age groups? Why is natural immunity being ignored? Why is science calling into question government measures being unacknowledged within the mainstream?
A new study out of Germany, currently in pre-print form, assessed the absolute risk of COVID for children. Before we get to the results, note that absolute risk is the most useful way of presenting research results to help the public in decision-making.
The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) even strongly advises that Absolute Risk Reduction be provided when considering information that will affect health policy.
“Provide absolute risks, not just relative risks. Patients are unduly influenced when risk information is presented using a relative risk approach; this can result in suboptimal decisions. Thus, an absolute risk format should be used.”
This begs the question, why were we bombarded with the relative risk reduction from COVID vaccines, which was said to be 95 percent, but not the absolute risk reduction, which was less than 1 percent? According to the FDA’s own guidance, the public was “unduly influenced” to take this medication.
The German study provided the following numbers regarding kids and COVID in Germany:
- For healthy kids, the risk of going to the hospital is 51 per 100,000
- For healthy kids, the risk of going to the ICU is 8 per 100,000
- For healthy kids, the risk of death is 3 per 1,000,000 with no deaths reported in kids older than 5
- Kids 5 to 11 have a lower risk than kids <5 and adolescents 12 to 17
- Kids 5 to 11 have a risk of going to the ICU of 2 in 100,000; 0 died
The authors combined seroprevalence data, which gives a good indication of the number of possible infections out there, with data on bad outcomes in kids. They divided kids with bad outcomes by kids who had COVID.
Using seroprevalence data to get a sense of how many people may have already been infected provides us with an infection fatality rate as well. This is good to determine how many people may have already acquired the robust benefits of natural immunity as well as relay a survival rate to the citizenry.
There are well over 100 studies that have now shown the power of this immunity and how it offers a more robust protection than the vaccine.
The data from the German study corroborates with a wealth of data from multiple countries that spans from the beginning of the pandemic to where we are today. For example, Jonas F. Ludvigsson a paediatrician at Örebro University Hospital and professor of clinical epidemiology at the Karolinska Institute, has published research showing that out of nearly 2 million school children, zero died from COVID despite no lockdowns, school closings or mask mandates during the first wave of the pandemic.
The American Academy of Pediatrics also confirmed that while the Delta variant is infecting more children, it is not causing increased disease severity. They also found that 0.1-1.9% of their child COVID-19 cases resulted in hospitalizations, and 0.00-0.03% of all child COVID-19 case resulted in death.
A study from July 2021 by John P.A. Ioannidis concluded that your chances of dying from COVID if you are infected with it, in the following age groups is:
0-19 = 0.0027%
20-29 = 0.014%
30-39 = 0.031%
40-49 = 0.082%
50-59 = 0.27%
60-69 = 0.59%
70+ = 2.4%
Dr. Vinay Prasad, MD, MPH, a hematologist-oncologist and Associate Professor in the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics at the University of California San Francisco states the following regarding the Germany study,
“The Germany study shows that risks to healthy kids are very low. It also shows the massive efforts that try to distort risk. By lumping together healthy kids and kids with comorbidities, one can find rates of risk that help neither group. They are too small for vulnerable kids, and too big for healthy kids. We have too much of this in the USA.
These results put risk to kids in perspective. They show us that school closure was wrong. They make you think of easy questions: What is the upper bound benefit for masking a 6 year old in school? Hint: even if it works (Psst unproven) it won’t be big. And, this info also suggests difficult questions: Does a healthy 8 year old who already had Covid-19 benefit from vaccination? If so how much? If so, what evidence support that? When you know the absolute risks, you put Covid-19 for kids in perspective.
This is an important study.”
We know COVID is not dangerous for young, healthy people. The risk is greater for children with underlying health conditions, which is the same thing we see for any age group. In healthy children 0-14 years old, the mortality risk of COVID is less than the seasonal flu, car accidents, and drowning.
So what’s the justification for the vaccine? Why has there been such a high level of fear?
The idea is that vaccinating children will stop the spread of the disease as they may be vectors for transmission, but we know this reasoning isn’t adequate. Vaccinated people who are infected can carry the same viral load as unvaccinated people who are infected.
All over the world there are examples of highly vaccinated populations experiencing an exponential rise in COVID cases. The territory or nation of Gibraltar claims to have vaccinated 100 percent of their eligible citizens and they are currently experiencing outbreaks. In fact, of the top five counties that have the highest percentage of population fully vaccinated (99.9–84.3%), the US Centres for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) identifies four of them as “high” transmission counties.
If you’d like more examples, see my recent article, “COVID Is Not A “Pandemic Of The Unvaccinated” As Politicians Claim.”
Not only does the vaccine not limit the spread of COVID, multiple studies have concluded that children are actually poor spreaders of the virus. Some of these studies have been outlined in a report released by Eric T. Payne, MD, MPH, Pediatric Neurocritical Care & Epilepsy, Alberta Children’s Hospital, Assistant Professor of Pediatrics & Neurology, the University of Calgary.
This includes studies from Ireland, Iceland, Italy, France, and Australia. For a link to a more complete reference list, see Washington University Pediatric & Adolescent Ambulatory Research Consortium.
Even the concept of asymptomatic spread has been questioned severely, particularly for children.
Given the information above, the risks associated with the vaccine must be considered when administering it to children as they may be greater than the risks of COVID itself. If one takes a look at the data regarding reported adverse reactions, for which there are now millions, as well as the recent previously confidential documents Pfizer was forced to make public, it’s quite concerning.
Studies have even emerged showing that the risk of hospitalization as a result of COVID for children is less than the risk of a child experiencing heart complications due to COVID vaccines. This is why multiple countries have halted the use of some COVID shots for young people.
With all of this information, why are governments allowed to put in place measures like mandatory vaccination and vaccine passports? Is this about the virus, or is COVID being used to impose more control over the global citizenry? And if so, why?
In Germany, unvaccinated citizens are currently on lockdown, and mandatory vaccinations may be on the horizon.
Governments and public health officials have driven this pandemic of fear and propaganda. But parents willing to assess this purely from a benefit versus risk position might ask themselves: ‘If my child has little if any risk, near zero risk of severe sequelae or death, and thus no benefit from the vaccine, yet there could be potential harms and as yet unknown harms from the vaccine (as already reported in adults who have received the vaccines), then why would I subject my child to such a vaccine?